Tuesday, August 19, 2008

Higher Interest Rates Courtesy of Inflation

Treasury auctions today ended with interest rates moving somewhat higher. Treasury prices were lower as a result. Despite the auction results and higher rates, the downtrend today looks weak to me. There's not much conviction, at least not yet. I wouldn't be surprised if the market discounts inflation and buys treasuries again over the next few days, unless commodities begin to rise and/or the Dollar collapses again. Like Fox "I Want to Believe" Mulder of the "X Files" television series, the market "wants to believe" in lower rates, regardless of inflationary pressures.