Wednesday, August 31, 2011

Wall St Bets... On Inflation!

Despite a steady drumbeat of bad economic news, Wall St is buying up stocks steadily since Bernanke's speech last Friday. They are convinced that more inflationary quantitative easing by the Fed is on the way. Worse yet, they are convinced that it is necessary!
They are therefore ignoring the strong likelihood of another recession that is already under way, and are instead placing their bets... on more inflation. They are therefore bidding higher the stock market, even in the face of a growing chorus of evidence in support of the view of a new recession.
This is going to have terrible results, because the higher cost of the inflation that the Fed denies is going to contribute toward, and even accelerate the onset of that recession. The Fed, in its refusal to acknowledge its destructive role in driving us toward that cliff, is advancing the very scenario it claims it wants to prevent. By pursuing a policy that now has an evidentiary history of raising inflation and putting greater pressure on household budgets, they are increasing the likelihood of that recession. It's a classic case of shooting oneself in the foot.
And like the Fed, they either still don't get it, or, as I believe, don't care about the destructive consequences! They don't care because higher inflation and monetary policy that causes it serve their interest. They therefore pressure the Fed to create still more of it despite that it harms their countrymen and advances the very economic scenario that we are now dreading.