Wednesday, September 1, 2010

Dollar Gets Massacred Overnight

Is this the beginning of the consequences of Fed interventions? John Hussman said last week that Dollar devastation would be inevitable. There are whisper rumors that the Fed is buying, or soon will begin buying, directly in the stock market. The Japanese have been doing so for years. If so, inflation is going to escalate. Michael Pento is predicting that the Fed will, either openly or not, directly intervene to buoy up stocks.

Excerpts from Zero Hedge:

"...Michael Pento makes the case that as opposed to the occasional market intervention via the President's Working Group, Bernanke will soon make stock purchases an outright policy of the Federal Reserve as its last ditch attempt to engender inflation before the hundreds of billions of Commercial Real Estate and other bank debt start maturing in 2011/2012. Bernanke is running out of time and he knows it. And once the Fed becomes the bidder of last resort in stocks, all bets are off, as the Central Bank will become the defacto only market in virtually every risky category. And the only safe vehicle, once the market then begins to price in Fed driven asset-price hyperinflation, will be gold..
Pento also provides some perspectives on the Fed's balance sheet, which he anticipates will expand in a "great fashion", but a much bigger concern to the recent Euro Pacific Capital addition, is the possible surge in M2: "That base money can expand, M2 which is currently running around 8.5 trillion all the way up to nearly 25 to 30 trillion dollars of money supply and that's enough obviously to send prices through the roof." All Bernanke needs to do is light the "alternative asset purchasing" match and all those who wonder what left field hyperinflation could come out of, will get their answer.

Pento also goes into explaining why housing is facing a "deflationary depression," and a further collapse in pricing, why inflation benefits only those closest to the money, i.e., the banks and the military complex, why it destroys the middle class (we are sure Buffett ca. 2003 could say something about that too... the current, far more senile and captured Uncle Warren, not so much), the impact on discretionary purchases, on unemployment, real incomes, and all other items which tend to "follow the money."
Lastly, Pento concludes with an analysis of what would have happened had the government allowed the deflationary depression to occur two years ago, without the tens of trillions in bank bailouts. We protracted, and elongated the depression. But instead of having the benefit of falling prices, you have rising prices." And if Pento is right, the price rise has only just begun.