Friday, August 13, 2010

"If you don't believe there's going to be a double dip, it's because the first recession never ended."

"If you don't believe there's going to be a double dip, it's because the first recession never ended. If there is going to be a double dip, the odds are certainly higher than 50-50." - David Rosenberg

Rosenberg also said:

  • that Q2 GDP is likely to be revised downward to 1% or 1.5% 
  • Q3 is likely to have growth of 0%!
  • Q4 is likely to see GDP contraction
  • Inventory-building was 2/3 of growth
  • 1/3 was policy stimulus