Tuesday, May 4, 2010

The Debt Contagion Begins to Spread

May 4 (Bloomberg) -- The euro slid to a one-year low against the dollar and stocks tumbled amid concern the European government debt crisis is spreading to Spain and Portugal. Commodities and shares of their producers slid on a slowdown in Chinese manufacturing and fallout from the BP Plc rig disaster.
The euro weakened below $1.31 for the first time since April 2009. The MSCI World Index of 23 developed nations’ stocks declined 1.8 percent at 9:37 a.m. in New York and the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index dropped 1.5 percent, erasing yesterday’s rally. BP Plc slumped to a seven-month low as the costs of containing an oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico mounted. Copper fell to its lowest level in nine weeks, while oil sank 2.8 percent to $83.75 a barrel as the dollar rose against 14 of 16 major counterparts.
Greece’s 110 billion-euro ($146 billion) bailout, approved by finance ministers over the weekend, is failing to ease speculation the debt crisis will spread to nations such as Portugal and Spain. A Chinese purchasing managers’ index declined to 55.4 from 57 in March, signaling government attempts to cool the world’s fastest-growing economy are working.
“There’s spillover effect from China,” said Stanley Nabi, New York-based vice chairman of Silvercrest Asset Management Group, which manages $9 billion. “Spain and Portugal are both endangered species. The attention could shift to one of those countries. In the U.S., it’s no longer news that earnings are better than expected. The stock market has had a great run. I’ve got a feeling that May is going to be a month of consolidation or even of backing down a little bit.”
The S&P 500 erased most of yesterday’s 1.3 percent rally triggered after Warren Buffett defended Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in the wake of fraud accusations against the firm, while reports on manufacturing and consumer spending signaled the economy is strengthening.
“The biggest concern today remains the European peripheral countries and Spain is the big one because there’s fear of another downgrade,” said Sal Catrini, a managing director for equities at Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. in New York. “That’s shaking things up today.”