Monday, February 8, 2010

Trimtabs Unemployment Data Suggests It's Still Getting Worse!

The key take-aways in the following story were that:

  • Taxes deducted from employee paychecks are still declining, suggesting that fewer people are working than the BLS reported
  • Numbers of people receiving unemployment benefits is up 27% in just two months
  • First-time claims in unemployment rose more than 10% in January
  • The BLS added in 1.92 million jobs in January due to its "adjustment" process. These are fictitious jobs.
  • Historically, January adjustments are followed by later revisions that show actual data to be much worse than originally reported.