Tuesday, March 17, 2009

Fed to Expand Programs Further to Prevent Worsening

From Bloomberg:

The Federal Open Market Committee, gathering today and tomorrow in Washington, needs to redouble its efforts after the central bank’s balance sheet shrank 17 percent from a $2.3 trillion December peak, Fed watchers said. The retreat came even as Bernanke acknowledged the chance that the unemployment rate will exceed 10 percent for the first time in a quarter century.

“It takes massive balance-sheet expansion to generate significant easing in financial conditions,” said Andrew Tilton, an economist at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in New York who used to work at the Treasury. “More needs to be done.”

This week’s FOMC meeting could mark a shift toward more aggressive monetary expansion to fight deflation after demand waned for many of the Fed’s existing programs.
Read the full story here.

This is troubling, because it suggests that, contrary to what Mr. Bernanke said in his 60 Minutes interview over the weekend, the Fed believes the economy may contract even more. Why else would they express the need to expand their programs and balance sheet even more?