Wednesday, January 7, 2009

Poor ADP, Earnings Sock Stocks

The ADP unemployment report this morning was worse than expected, manifesting additional weakness in the United States economy. This month, however, instead of job losses being centered in the construction, housing, and financial sectors, the majority of job losses occurred in the services sectors of the economy for the first time. The ADP jobs report includes only private-sector jobs losses, and occurs as a precursor to the BLS (government) jobs report on Friday. However, since ADP reported that the private sector job losses alone were 693,000 during December, it raises questions about how bad the BLS version will be on Friday. ADP reported that they have adjusted their methodology so that it more closely reflects the BLS figures due out on Friday. If this is true, in future months the ADP figures may take on greater significance to investors.