"A month ago we mocked the Philly Fed number which printed at an outlier level of 8.1, slamming expectations of a negative print, and sending algos into overbuydrive. A week ago we
were validated when the annual revision brought that number down from
8.1 to 4.6. Today we get confirmation that the December print was a
total farce, with a January Philly Fed print which is once again solidly
in negative territory, or -5.8, which just happens to be the biggest
miss to expectations of 5.6 in seven months. Yet while a month ago the
huge beat was a reason for the robots to ramp stocks, today's miss is a
reason to... ramp stocks even more. Why? Because moments before the
disappointing announcement the Fed decided to inject even more liquidity
in addition to the now daily unsterilized POMO, following the
resumption of repos, which injected some $210 million in reserves into dealers. This is in addition to the $3 or so billion that today's POMO will add as stock purchasing dry powder for banks."
I am a student of economics, financial analyst, and futures trader, specializing in agricultural commodities, and especially grains, but I also trade gold and other metals, soft commodities, treasuries, and stock index futures.
I began trading spot Forex currency crosses in May 2003, and in August 2006, I met a futures trader who has been making a living in futures for more than 20 years, and he became my futures mentor. I've never looked back, and I am now head trader for Global Capital Reserves, my own firm.
I also have both Bachelors and Master of Science degrees in business.
I really enjoy trading futures, and hope to share my successes, a few failures, and methodologies.