Tuesday, December 18, 2018
Friday, October 12, 2018
Corn Crop Clobbered by Hurricane Michael
Note that until Hurricane Michael, corn had been trending lower for the last few days, but when the hurricane hit, prices leaped! This is one of the worst hurricanes to hit the United States in decades.
Wednesday, October 10, 2018
Wednesday, August 22, 2018
Wednesday, July 25, 2018
Stocks Soar on Good Trade News
Stocks soared today on news that Trump and Juncker reached a good trade deal. The S&P is just a few points below the highs reached in February.
Thursday, July 12, 2018
Trade War Threat Sends Commodities Cliff Diving
These charts for corn and crude oil are symbolic of what commodity prices are doing under the threat of a trade war.
Monday, July 2, 2018
Wednesday, June 27, 2018
Crude Continues to Ramp Up
Gas prices will soon begin to reflect the higher price of crude oil. We have now hit a higher price that the high hit in mid-May.
Tuesday, June 26, 2018
Sunday, June 24, 2018
Crude Oil Climbs Sharply
I was quite shocked at how sharply the price of crude oil climbed Friday. I understand that OPEC was unable to agree on production increases.
Monday, June 18, 2018
Bloomberg: "Equities in Denial"
Bloomberg writer Richard Breslow this morning expressed a rather sanguine assessment of the current equity markets, despite price strength.
Friday, June 8, 2018
Fed Has Barely Begun to Reduce Its Balance Sheet
I was stunned when I saw this chart. After all that we've been told that the Federal Reserve has reduced its balance sheet and begun to normalize, this chart shows that it hasn't happened.
Thursday, June 7, 2018
Wednesday, June 6, 2018
The Smart Money Is Running for the Exits
One of the signs of a maturing bubble that is showing froth and may be about to burst is that the really big money of professional investors runs for the exits. They see trouble ahead, and they quietly exit the markets so as to preserve their capital when the market collapses.
Monday, June 4, 2018
Crude Oil Peaks -- for Now!
On May 24, the Russians and Saudis announced that they would soon increase oil production. Since then, the price of crude oil has reversed, and the price has declined significantly. And we have seen a more recent decline in the price of gasoline.
Saturday, June 2, 2018
Unemployment at 3.8%, But Adults Not In Labor Force Hits Record High
Once again, I find it interesting that the BLS announced that unemployment had reached an 18-year low of 3.8%. But at the same time, the BLS announced on the same day that the number of American adults not in the labor force hit a new all-time record high of 95.9 million! That's the highest in American history! Ouch!
Wednesday, May 9, 2018
Crude Oil Going Sky High
Crude oil price rocketed more than $2 per barrel today. And this evening, it was up another 55 cents just minutes ago. We must prepare for even higher gasoline prices. Ouch!
Tuesday, May 8, 2018
Something That Doesn't Add Up!
This morning, I saw two articles on the same website. One indicates that we have hit a new record number of Social Security recipients in the United States:
And this headline indicating that we have hit a new record number of American adults not in the workforce:
That figure was just 94 million in July of 2016.
And yet we're also being told that the unemployment rate has dropped to just 3.9%!
The numbers don't add up! But worse than that, they are unsustainable! We now have so many people receiving government assistance in the US that a disaster is inevitable!
And this headline indicating that we have hit a new record number of American adults not in the workforce:
That figure was just 94 million in July of 2016.
And yet we're also being told that the unemployment rate has dropped to just 3.9%!
The numbers don't add up! But worse than that, they are unsustainable! We now have so many people receiving government assistance in the US that a disaster is inevitable!
Thursday, April 12, 2018
Tumbling Treasuries As Stocks Climb Sharply Higher
A perceived "de-escalation" of tensions with Russia in Syria is sending stocks sharply higher, and US Treasuries sharply lower today. Wall St is happy today! The Dow was up 350 points as I wrote this.
Tuesday, March 27, 2018
Hints That Market May Be Reaching Top
I couldn't help noticing this morning that these two headlines hinted at a potential for the current asset markets to be reaching their zeniths. I also noticed another headline, which is not posted here, that real estate refinance loans are sliding downward.




